Job Growth, Job Openings

The two graphics below help summarize today’s job market.

On Friday, the U.S. BLS reported nonfarm payrolls rose a healthy 431,000 in March, down from February’s strong pace of 750,000. Figure 1 is a three-month average of the monthly change in payrolls, which helps smooth away any statistical anomalies.

Over the last nine months, growth has been impressive, with the 3-month average holding within a range of 500,000—650,000. One important reason growth has been strong: a record number of job openings.

Put more simply, job openings are a prerequisite for job growth, and openings are high.

As Figure 2 illustrates, openings are far ahead of what we saw prior to the Covid lockdowns and subsequent economic halt.

The huge number of job openings are helping to generate employment growth. Yet, strong job growth hasn’t made a dent in openings, as businesses struggle to fill empty positions.

As the economy expands, businesses require more workers, and open positions remain extremely high—above 11 million in four of the last five months.

If you have any questions or would like to discuss any other matters, please let me know.  

Clark S. Bellin, CIMA®, CPWA®, CEPA

President & Financial Advisor, Bellwether Wealth

402-476-8844 cbellin@bellww.com

All items discussed in this report are for informational purposes only, are not advice of any kind, and are not intended as a solicitation to buy, hold, or sell any securities. Nothing contained herein constitutes tax, legal, insurance, or investment advice. Please consult the appropriate professional regarding your individual circumstance.

Stocks and bonds and commodities are not FDIC insured and can fall in value, and any investment information, securities and commodities mentioned in this report may not be suitable for everyone.

U.S. Treasury bonds and Treasury bills are guaranteed by the U.S. government and, if held to maturity, offer a fixed rate of return and guaranteed principal value. U.S. government bonds are issued and guaranteed as to the timely payment of principal and interest by the federal government. Treasury bills are certificates reflecting short-term (less than one year) obligations of the U.S. government.

Past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

Different investments involve different degrees of risk, and there can be no assurance that the future performance of any investment, security, commodity or investment strategy that is referenced will be profitable or be suitable for your portfolio.

The information has been obtained from sources considered to be reliable, but we do not guarantee that the foregoing material is accurate or complete. The information contained in this report does not purport to be a complete description of the securities, markets, or developments referred to in this material.

The information contained is not a complete summary or statement of all available data necessary for making an investment decision and does not constitute a recommendation.

Before making any investments or making any type of investment decision, please consult with your financial advisor and determine how a security may fit into your investment portfolio, how a decision may affect your financial position and how it may impact your financial goals.

All opinions are subject to change without notice in response to changing market and/or economic conditions.

1 The Dow Jones Industrial Average is an unmanaged index of 30 major companies which cannot be invested into directly.  Past performance does not guarantee future results.

2 The NASDAQ Composite is an unmanaged index of companies which cannot be invested into directly.  Past performance does not guarantee future results.

3 The S&P 500 Index is an unmanaged index of 500 larger companies which cannot be invested into directly.  Past performance does not guarantee future results.

4 The Global Dow is an unmanaged index composed of stocks of 150 top companies. It cannot be invested into directly. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

5 CME Group front-month contract; Prices can and do vary; past performance does not guarantee future results.

6 CME Group continuous contract; Prices can and do vary; past performance does not guarantee future results.

Previous
Previous

Feel the Need for Speed

Next
Next

Rising Inflation, Rising Prices